Which is the more likely response, given each precondition as axiom?
Precondition: Obama gets into office, collects information from intelligence sources, and comes to the conclusion that US troops are making progress in Iraq. Response: Obama announces that he was wrong, and continues American presence in Iraq.
28(87.5%)
Precondition: McCain gets into office, collects information from intelligence sources, and comes to the conclusion that US troops are making NO progress in Iraq. Response: McCain announces that he was wrong, and ends American presence in Iraq.
4(12.5%)